A Leadership Series from Futurist Jim Carroll

Leading Through Uncertainty

It is what it is. We are where we are.This moment in 2025 feels like a bad dream to many, and the assault on the global economy has been a tipping point for many worldwide.With that in mind, Futurist Jim Carroll is writing a series addressing a key question: How do we lead through uncertainty? How do we lead ourselves - what's our mindset? How do we lead others - how can we help them? How do we lead our organizations - how do we keep moving forward?Jim spent a lot of time on this theme during and after the downturns of 2001, 2008 and again during 2020, speaking about leadership resilience at events worldwide.There is a lot to revisit, and a lot to think about. The theme is 'resilience,' and we can all learn more about what it means, and what we can do to keep focused on where we can go - not just where we are.

#1 - April 7, 2025

The long arc of the future always rewards the patient!

We’re living through an era where it feels like the very idea of progress is under siege.Science is questioned. Facts are ignored. Bold ideas are met with backlash. Funding is cut. In parts of the world—especially in the U.S.—there’s a growing, dangerous desire to rewind the clock. It’s an effort to return to some imaginary "better time," rather than confronting the future with the courage and creativity it demands.And yet—despite it all—the future hasn’t stopped moving forward.

You can delay progress. You can defund it. You can deny it. You can hammer it with ill-advised or even idiotic decisions.But you can’t delete it.Never forget that fact, and act accordingly.Don't give in. Don't give up. Don't give way.The long arc of innovation always bends forward. History is clear on this: the future always finds a way. Whether it’s AI revolutionizing how we work, precision medicine reshaping healthcare, or microgrids powering cities like Nairobi —the ideas are still unfolding. Just not always where you expect.It’s tempting, especially now, to be disillusioned. To believe the cynics are winning. To think progress is on pause. It's easy to let fear strike us every day, stunning us into frozen disbelief.But don’t confuse noise for momentum. The future doesn’t follow headlines. It follows courage, capital, and conviction. And all three are still alive and well—albeit a bit battered and bruised. But they are still there.As a futurist, I’ve always said the future belongs to those who are fast. But today, I’d add this: it also belongs to those who refuse to flinch.If some people want to step back from the future—that’s their choice.You? Step forward. The future is still yours— ours— to build.So how do we build this future in the face of resistance? What do we do at this very moment, as global equities give their negative verdict on where we are?It begins with mindset. Embrace resilience—don't flinch when faced with setbacks but adapt quickly. Keep your focus on long-term progress while taking decisive action today. Ground yourself in your core purpose, even during uncertain times. And throughout it all, maintain unwavering optimism that acknowledges challenges while recognizing our capacity to overcome them.The future has always belonged to those who refuse to look backward. Now it's your turn to lead it forward.Progress endures despite volatility.Tomorrow belongs to the believers.Hang in there.

#2 - April 8, 2025

In times of chaos and fear, purposeful action is power

Act boldly. Fear feeds on hesitation.Think about this moment. Confidence is fragile. Every headline screams volatility.And just like that, a wave of fear rolls in—bringing hesitation, doubt, and paralysis.Are you letting the fear freeze your future?Have you become the deer in the headlights?But here’s the truth: the antidote to anxiety is action.While others freeze, you can move.

While some debate what might go wrong, you can start building what could go right.While people wait for signs an upturn, you can create your own little upturn, simply by acting.Fear loves hesitation. It grows stronger when you pause, wait, scroll endlessly, or convince yourself that “now isn’t the time.” It thrives in your indecision, matures in the recesses of your uncertainty, and becomes a cancer in your inaction.But bold action—no matter how small—immediately puts you back in the driver’s seat. It shifts your mindset from ‘overwhelmed‘ to ‘engaged.’ It puts you in control. It gets you out of your doom cycle. It brings you back from focusing on where you are – to building momentum for where you could be.You don’t have to launch a moonshot to make a difference. You don’t need some huge stretch goal. You don’t need to be chasing some grand vision. You just have to move:Learn something new.Start that project.Test the idea.Build the prototype.Say yes.Momentum beats perfection. Progress quiets panic. Action beats fear.We are not victims of the future. We are its architects—if we choose to be.So when the uncertainty rises, meet it with motion.When fear whispers “not yet,” answer back: “Watch me.Because the future doesn’t wait.And neither should you.What are you waiting for?

#3 - April 9, 2025

If you want to be part of what’s next, leave your nostalgia at the door.

You need to commit.Yesterday, or tomorrow?I know where I'm going. It's in my job description.Think about it - at this very moment, we’re witnessing a battle playing out everywhere—across boardrooms, governments, industries, at parties and sports events and family get togethers. The battle is being  driven by a vainglorious and ill-fated desire to try to take things back to where they were - not to where they are going.And one of the most important things you need. to do is make your decision - and stick to it - as to where you are headed.It's a battle of vision vs. nostalgia.Of strategy vs. sentimentality.Of building what’s next vs. longing for what was.It's really not a fair fight.

We’ve reached a point where the familiar is failing - old industries are dying, old skills are becoming irrelevant,  old knowledge is going out of date, old jobs are disappearing. In the context of that? New industries, skills, knowledge, jobs - and new opportunities.It's called disruptive change, and it is very real. The new rule is that older stable ideas aren’t stable. Playbooks that were once reliable aren’t playable. Assumptions and strategies that served the past no longer serve the future. The fact is, the world’s moving faster than our old systems were designed to handle.And yet—some still cling to the comfort of past success like it’s a security blanket.But nostalgia is not a strategy. It’s a sedative.In a world that demands reinvention, clinging to the past is a slow form of decline.If you want to lead your team, your business, or even yourself through this moment, the answer isn’t to “get back to normal”—it’s to get better at what’s next.We now know what works:

  • businesses that embrace change and actively adapt their models during crisis (anti-fragility) bounce back stronger.

  • leaders who let go of the expectation to “have all the answers” and instead lean into learning, agility, and reinvention are that find the new answers

  • companies that invest in innovation—process, product, and purpose—capture opportunity while others fall behind

  • olong-term success is built by those who protect future-facing investments like R&D, automation, digital, and customer insight—even when it's tempting to cut them.

Look at the companies that missed the future—Kodak. Blockbuster. Blackberry. Their downfall wasn’t a lack of resources. It was a devotion to the past that blinded them to the signals of change. When you think about it, that's exactly what is happening at this moment in time with Tesla - with their CEO so caught up in fighting a different battle that has ceded the future of electric vehicles to China.Recessions and disruptions are not the time to shrink your ambition. They’re a time to reshape it.So ask yourself: Are you holding onto what used to work—or reaching for what could?The future doesn’t wait for comfort. It rewards courage.And if you want to be part of what’s next, leave your nostalgia at the door—and bring your blueprint for tomorrow. That's because this moment isn’t just about letting go of nostalgia, it's about trading old mindsets for future-ready ones:

  • Vision vs. Nostalgia – Stop looking back. Start looking ahead.

  • Strategy vs. Sentimentality – Reality over drama. Direction over emotion.

  • Adaptation vs. Preservation – Evolve or risk irrelevance.

  • Momentum vs. Memory – Motion matters more than history.

  • Leadership vs. Legacy Thinking – Reinvent the rules—even the ones that made you.

  • Curiosity vs. Complacency – Exploration fuels relevance. Routine kills it.

  • Possibility vs. Protectionism – The future doesn’t reward playing it safe.

If you’re still trying to bring back the past, you’re already behind.The future belongs to those who are ready to reshape it—one decision, one mindset shift, one bold move at a time.Leave your nostalgia at the door. And walk into what’s next.

#4 - April 10, 2025

Inertia feels safe. Until it isn’t. Innovation feels risky. Until it wins

Uncertainty rewards the inventive , not the indifferent.Recessions test everything—strategy, structure, and above all, mindset.You are going through all that right now with the wild whiplash of this moment in time. You can’t easily define strategies straight in a world in which one moment the world is up and the next is down. You can’t figure out a path forward when the path keeps changing. You can’t plant a flag on a foundation of certainty where there is none.But what you can do is commit to investing in your future through innovation.

Think about it – when the world turns volatile, most companies do the typical thing – they freeze. They cut everything. Delay everything. Protect what was. Go into a mode of delay. But others take a different route: they innovate—not recklessly, but intentionally. They adapt their offerings, reframe their markets, and lean into change.History tells us who wins.In past downturns, the most resilient companies continued to invest in R&D, product development, and digital transformation, even as they restructured costs elsewhere. They embraced frugal innovation—creating smarter, leaner, more relevant solutions with limited resources. They used the moment to reimagine offerings for evolving customer needs—meeting people where they were, not where they used to be.They didn’t innovate in spite of the crisis. They innovated because of it.These companies weren’t reckless. They were strategic.They protected the core but invested in the future.They used volatility as a forcing function to rethink how they deliver value—and to whom.And the results speak for themselves – they:

  • captured market share: Outpaced competitors by staying relevant during volatility.

  • deepened customer loyalty: Met changing needs with smarter, faster solutions.

  • reimagined offerings: Pivoted products and services to fit the moment.

  • streamlined structures: transformed operations to move with greater speed.

  • accelerated disruption: Fast-tracked innovation that would’ve taken years otherwise.

Meanwhile, those that chose inertia? Most never caught up. Because innovation isn’t a luxury for good times. It’s a necessity for what comes next.In the end, volatility favors those willing to reinvent—while inertia quietly takes the rest out of the game.Which side of the curve will you be on?

#5 - April 11, 2025

Be a time traveller. Manage today’s crisis. But strategize for tomorrow.

Downturns are not just economic events.They are stress tests for leadership.When pressure builds, plans unravel. Priorities scatter. Noise takes over. People panic. That’s when some leaders retreat—shrinking their vision, delaying decisions, or hoping someone else will take the next step. But others stay grounded. They hold the line—for their teams, their strategy, and their purpose.This is real resilience. Not slogans. Not survival But the ability to move across time—anchoring the present, while building for the future.

You have to be a time traveller: respond to the moment, while keeping your eyes locked on what comes next.Resilient leaders don’t just manage the current crisis —they hold it together until the future arrives.Here’s what the data shows from past downturns:

  • the most resilient organizations didn’t retreat into reactive cycles.

  • they didn’t discard their long-term vision under short-term fear.

  • they remained disciplined on costs and intentional on growth.

  • they protected their people, their customers, and their momentum—not just their margins.

Meanwhile, those that chose inertia? Most never caught up. Because innovation isn’t a luxury for good times. It’s a necessity for what comes next.In the end, volatility favors those willing to reinvent—while inertia quietly takes the rest out of the game.Which side of the curve will you be on?

The fact is, while they managed the crisis in real time, they never lost sight of the bigger arc.

  • they thought across multiple time horizons at once:

  • they actively manage today.

  • all while preparing for tomorrow.

  • and positioning for the rebound that always comes.

They didn’t flinch. But they didn’t charge blindly either. They led with calm, communicated with transparency, and made decisions that reflected long-term confidence—not panic.That’s the essence of future-ready leadership.So as the pressure rises, the question is simple: Are you retreating—or reinforcing? Are you in one time zone or several?Because the leaders who shape what’s next aren’t the ones with the boldest slogans. They’re the ones who stay clear, steady, and focused—while keeping one foot in the future.Be a time traveller. Manage the crisis.But never stop building what’s next.

#6 - April 14, 2025

The future rewards those who adapt under pressure, not those who break because of it.

Over the last five days, I’ve shared how we lead ourselves and our organizations through this moment of global volatility—one shaped by economic uncertainty, political instability, and cultural retreat from the future.Beginning by reaffirming belief in progress, even when it feels stalledConfronting fear with actionChallenging nostalgia with visionSpotlighting innovation as the antidote to inertiaEmphasizing the importance of thinking across time horizons—managing today while preparing for tomorrowBut there’s something deeper that sits underneath all of that: pressure..That’s the real test—managing this moment.

Keeping our heads on straight. Not letting the negativity consume us or define our future. If there’s one constant through every downturn, disruption, or crisis, it’s this: stress is the defining force of the moment. And how we respond to that stress—organizationally, personally, and strategically—determines whether we fall back, freeze up, or forge forward into what’s next.That’s why today, it’s not just about planning for the future.It’s about learning to adapt under pressure.Every moment of disruption applies pressure. And pressure reveals everything. It reveals which organizations and individuals have foundations that flex, and which ones crumble. It reveals leaders who focus forward—and those who fold under volatility.Right now, we’re not just navigating an economic downturn. We’re navigating a world defined by compounding stress—market stress, leadership stress, and system stress. But stress, when met with strategy, becomes fuel for the future.I’ve written about this before: “It’s in our response to volatility that our future is defined.”The most future-ready companies don’t panic. They channel pressure into progress. They don’t crumble under stress—they restructure, refocus, and realign. They transform pressure into precision—cutting noise, not capacity. They rethink agility, not just in structure but in mindset. They use stress as a forcing function—to do what needed doing all along.My advice is clear: You don’t rebuild your organization for the next crisis. You rebuild during this one—for the world that follows.Stress is unavoidable. But breaking is not.Your future hinges not on whether you face stress—but what you do with it.So when the tension rises, ask yourself:Are you absorbing it, reacting to it—or are you adapting through it?Because the organizations that thrive tomorrow are being stress-tested today.And the ones who rise are the ones who adapt under pressure, not break because of it.The future won’t be stress-free. But it will belong to those who grow stronger in the strain.

About Jim Carroll

Futurist & Innovation Expert

Futurist Jim Carroll is on a mission to help organizations understand how to align to tomorrow, today.I help CEOs, senior executives, and association leaders achieve their strategic objectives by aligning them with a disruptive, accelerating future. It’s actionable, powerful leadership insight based on detailed, specific industry trends – delivered within a fast-paced keynote with a compelling motivational style!” – Jim Carroll

Keynote

Leading Through Uncertainty:
7 Ways to Achieve Resilience In an Era of Volatility

Innovative organizations succeed by mastering the pace of the new high-velocity economy. In an era of economic challenge, they develop a relentless focus on chasing opportunity!For more than three decades, Futurist Jim Carroll has shared worldwide key strategies for moving forward through uncertainty

Mindset matters.

Moving Forward

You're frozen in fear with tariffs. The economy is volatile. The market isn't fun. What do you do?Lead your team forward - get them out of their fear.In 2009, Yum! Brands had Futurist Jim Carroll on stage for an audience of thousands in Las Vegas as the market was melting down. Fear was in the room. He spoke about the '7 Stages of Economic Grief,' and why history has taught us that those who moved to the Acceptance phase were the ones who win.Since then, he did dozens of leadership oriented talks about how to move through an era of wild economic volatility. He did the same thing after the downturn of 2001 - and again, through the pandemic.At this very moment, leadership teams are looking for critical insight.
For 3 major economic downturns, I've helped to lead them out of the wilderness. I'll do so again with this one. I've spent time on the topic with organizations like Northrop Grumman, Lockheed Martin, Honeywell, Microsoft, IBM, Nestle, and dozens more. CEO-level events and corporate offsite leadership meetings.
Right now, deep leadership insight for teams on how to get through the volatility is a precious resource. Experienced insight matters.

Move forward, not back

Contact Jim

Your issues are critical; your leadership meeting is important; your success with your event is mandatory.You need a battle-tested proven expert who can deliver concise trends-oriented leadership insight.Don’t just take Jim’s word for it. Join other leading organizations like NASA, Pfizer, The World Bank, Mercedes Benz, the PGA, Blackrock, the Wall Street Journal, and even Disney, all of whom arranged for Jim’s insight for a global leadership event or customer meeting – and came away empowered with new insight to take on our faster, more complex world.